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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.73+4.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+4.74vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+7.41vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+3.75vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+1.59vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05-0.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+1.93vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.37vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.39-0.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.88+2.13vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.71-1.25vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.05-0.06vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.41+0.55vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.78-6.78vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-3.93vs Predicted
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17Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.80vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Yale University2.7314.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University2.688.4%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College2.033.8%1st Place
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7.75Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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6.59Brown University2.858.8%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.0512.7%1st Place
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8.93Dartmouth College1.954.5%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.228.2%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.6%1st Place
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9.92Boston University1.393.5%1st Place
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13.13Connecticut College0.881.9%1st Place
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10.75Northeastern University1.713.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Vermont1.051.6%1st Place
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14.55Maine Maritime Academy0.411.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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12.07Salve Regina University0.462.5%1st Place
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14.2Olin College of Engineering0.461.2%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Egan | 14.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 29.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.2% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 26.1% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.