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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+3.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.28+0.11vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.86-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75-2.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36-3.09vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.45-2.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.16-2.82vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.11Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.79Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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3.91Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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8.07Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 26.4% | 23.4% | 19.6% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 3.7% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 23.1% | 10.6% |
| Sidney Moyer | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Max Sigel | 22.5% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Selian | 14.6% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 6.7% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 24.5% | 12.6% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.