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📊 Prediction Accuracy

11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Selian 14.7% 14.3% 15.1% 15.9% 16.2% 11.4% 8.0% 3.8% 0.6%
Shea McGrath 4.2% 5.3% 7.8% 9.5% 11.8% 14.7% 19.5% 18.7% 8.5%
Richard Kalich 4.1% 4.7% 5.6% 7.6% 11.2% 11.6% 17.2% 26.5% 11.5%
Adrian Winkelman 26.1% 26.5% 17.1% 14.8% 7.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Max Sigel 24.2% 19.5% 17.0% 14.3% 9.9% 8.3% 4.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Sidney Moyer 13.1% 13.8% 16.4% 14.6% 15.9% 12.5% 8.3% 4.3% 1.1%
Maria Skouloudi 7.6% 8.6% 12.6% 12.2% 15.8% 16.6% 13.2% 10.6% 2.8%
Matthew Straub 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 4.4% 7.0% 13.3% 65.9%
Lucas Escandon 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 8.9% 9.3% 14.7% 20.2% 20.6% 9.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.