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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+2.93vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.45+3.86vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+2.22vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00-2.21vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.75-2.79vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.28-2.95vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.86-3.08vs Predicted
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9Bates College-1.17-0.93vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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5.86Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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2.79Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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3.21University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.05Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.07Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 14.7% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 19.5% | 18.7% | 8.5% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 26.5% | 11.5% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 26.1% | 26.5% | 17.1% | 14.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 24.2% | 19.5% | 17.0% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 13.1% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 65.9% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.