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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.45+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.36+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75-0.70vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.16+1.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.00-3.19vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.28-3.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.86-4.12vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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4.14Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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6.1Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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2.81Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.09Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.04Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea McGrath | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 18.8% | 7.9% |
| Nathan Selian | 10.3% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Max Sigel | 20.7% | 19.9% | 18.3% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 22.3% | 12.2% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 30.7% | 22.7% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 22.2% | 9.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 13.0% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 15.2% | 64.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.