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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Lucas Escandon 4.6% 5.7% 6.1% 8.9% 10.9% 12.9% 20.7% 19.8% 10.4%
Richard Kalich 3.4% 3.0% 6.1% 6.7% 11.3% 13.6% 18.3% 24.5% 13.1%
Nathan Selian 13.1% 14.2% 15.7% 16.7% 14.2% 13.2% 7.8% 4.5% 0.6%
Max Sigel 21.6% 21.6% 19.0% 13.3% 11.7% 7.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Sidney Moyer 14.7% 15.2% 15.7% 13.6% 13.2% 12.8% 8.2% 5.6% 1.0%
Adrian Winkelman 27.9% 23.2% 16.5% 15.9% 9.0% 4.7% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 5.3% 5.7% 7.9% 10.5% 12.0% 14.6% 18.5% 19.1% 6.4%
Maria Skouloudi 8.5% 9.8% 11.3% 12.0% 15.0% 16.0% 14.1% 10.3% 3.0%
Matthew Straub 0.9% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.7% 4.9% 6.5% 14.4% 64.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.