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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29+3.99vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.16+3.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.36+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.75-1.82vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28-1.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.00-4.19vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.45-2.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.86-4.11vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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4.02Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.18University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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2.81Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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5.7Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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4.89Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.07Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Escandon | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.7% | 19.8% | 10.4% |
| Richard Kalich | 3.4% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 24.5% | 13.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 13.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Max Sigel | 21.6% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 14.7% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 27.9% | 23.2% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Shea McGrath | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 6.4% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Straub | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.