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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.36+2.96vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.75+1.41vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.45+1.74vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.16+1.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.28-1.99vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.04vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.86-3.05vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.00-6.17vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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3.41University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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5.74Bowdoin College0.450.0%1st Place
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6.07Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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4.01Brown University1.280.2%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.0%1st Place
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4.95Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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2.83Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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8.08Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 14.6% | 15.3% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Sigel | 16.9% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 19.4% | 18.5% | 7.0% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 23.5% | 12.1% |
| Sidney Moyer | 15.4% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 20.0% | 9.9% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 29.3% | 20.6% | 18.7% | 13.1% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 14.7% | 65.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.