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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.00+1.88vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.28+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.75-0.71vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.45+0.60vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.16+0.05vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.36-3.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.29-1.96vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.86-4.08vs Predicted
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10Bates College-1.17-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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4.27Brown University1.280.1%1st Place
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3.29University of Rhode Island1.750.2%1st Place
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5.6Bowdoin College0.450.1%1st Place
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6.05Boston University0.160.0%1st Place
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3.89Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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6.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.290.1%1st Place
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4.92Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.06Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Winkelman | 26.9% | 23.0% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Max Sigel | 21.8% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Shea McGrath | 6.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 5.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 22.2% | 13.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 14.7% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 20.9% | 10.7% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 15.0% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.