← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+2.89vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.69+1.49vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.18+1.76vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.34vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.84vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.09+5.03vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.57-0.79vs Predicted
-
8Old Dominion University1.28-0.79vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.70vs Predicted
-
10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.25vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University1.26-3.60vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College-0.90+0.50vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-3.06vs Predicted
-
14Washington College0.51-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
3.49Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
-
4.76University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
-
7.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.03Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
-
6.21Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
7.21Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.2%1st Place
-
8.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.4George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
12.5SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
-
9.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
-
9.34Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.2% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Green | 21.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Torrey Chisari | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 21.5% | 21.4% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 18.7% | 52.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.7% | 9.7% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.