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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.69+2.58vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+1.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.28+4.24vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.26+3.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+5.04vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.18-1.08vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.57-0.80vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.51+1.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.40-4.70vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.79-1.25vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-0.09+0.01vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-3.20vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-5.77vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.90-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58Cornell University2.690.2%1st Place
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3.81Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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7.33George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.0%1st Place
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4.92University of Pennsylvania2.180.1%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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9.36Washington College0.510.0%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Naval Academy2.400.1%1st Place
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8.75Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.01Princeton University-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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12.42SUNY Maritime College-0.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Green | 22.3% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.3% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 8.7% |
| Torrey Chisari | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Kennedy Jones | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 7.6% |
| Eva Blauvelt | 14.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Carly Mraz | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 22.3% | 20.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Eva Leggett | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 15.9% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.