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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+3.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.22+3.52vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.30vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.20+0.66vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-0.09vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.05+1.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-3.92vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.95-3.84vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-4.44vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.46-3.86vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.88-3.90vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Harvard University3.0511.2%1st Place
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6.58Brown University2.8510.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.688.2%1st Place
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7.52Tufts University2.227.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.3%1st Place
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10.29Boston University1.393.4%1st Place
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7.66Boston College2.207.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University2.7314.8%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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10.36Bowdoin College2.033.2%1st Place
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12.77University of Vermont1.051.7%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island2.786.3%1st Place
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9.16Dartmouth College1.954.6%1st Place
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14.14Olin College of Engineering0.461.2%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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12.14Salve Regina University0.462.2%1st Place
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13.1Connecticut College0.881.8%1st Place
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14.74Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Egan | 14.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 18.0% | 25.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 15.3% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.