Race 5A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Piper Holthus 18.3% 17.9% 16.4% 12.1% 9.9% 9.4% 6.8% 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 4.5% 5.9% 6.6% 9.0% 7.3% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.7% 10.0% 7.5% 5.8% 2.9% 0.8%
Torrey Chisari 12.9% 12.4% 11.2% 13.2% 12.5% 10.7% 8.9% 7.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 14.8% 14.3% 15.4% 12.7% 12.8% 8.9% 8.4% 5.9% 3.4% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Green 19.0% 19.8% 16.2% 13.6% 10.4% 7.4% 6.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 6.6% 6.6% 9.8% 9.1% 10.6% 11.1% 9.5% 9.0% 6.8% 4.7% 1.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.0% 5.6% 6.3% 8.1% 6.6% 11.4% 9.1% 10.0% 9.8% 9.1% 9.0% 5.7% 2.4% 0.9%
Annika VanderHorst 1.9% 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 3.7% 4.9% 6.5% 7.1% 9.8% 12.0% 15.4% 15.8% 10.9%
Grace Watlington 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 4.0% 5.7% 5.5% 6.3% 9.5% 10.6% 13.3% 12.1% 12.2% 8.3% 2.7%
Carly Mraz 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 3.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.7% 11.5% 14.4% 24.3% 19.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 2.9% 2.6% 2.8% 4.2% 6.6% 6.1% 8.0% 7.2% 10.3% 12.3% 11.2% 10.8% 10.7% 4.3%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 4.4% 7.4% 7.7% 9.1% 10.2% 11.5% 15.6% 12.4% 6.8%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.5% 6.8% 8.5% 7.6% 10.7% 10.3% 11.3% 10.1% 9.0% 8.1% 5.2% 2.6% 1.4% 0.9%
Eva Leggett 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 3.5% 4.5% 6.6% 8.3% 16.9% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.