Race 6A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Avery Canavan 4.4% 6.6% 6.0% 6.9% 7.6% 9.3% 8.2% 11.6% 10.7% 8.6% 8.5% 6.8% 3.7% 1.1%
Carly Mraz 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 2.4% 5.4% 5.6% 5.6% 7.0% 9.5% 15.1% 21.8% 18.4%
Piper Holthus 18.8% 17.2% 13.5% 13.9% 11.3% 9.3% 6.4% 5.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Watlington 2.5% 2.9% 5.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.0% 7.8% 8.1% 9.2% 11.7% 12.3% 12.9% 9.3% 2.9%
Bridget Green 18.9% 19.6% 16.9% 13.0% 10.7% 8.0% 6.0% 3.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.9% 6.4% 7.7% 8.3% 8.4% 11.4% 11.2% 8.9% 8.7% 10.0% 6.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.0% 2.8% 4.8% 5.1% 6.5% 7.0% 6.4% 7.9% 9.5% 11.9% 12.2% 10.6% 9.3% 3.0%
Heather Kerns 6.2% 4.9% 6.3% 6.7% 8.4% 7.4% 9.0% 9.4% 11.1% 11.3% 8.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.5%
Eva Blauvelt 16.7% 14.1% 13.0% 13.7% 11.8% 11.6% 7.1% 5.3% 3.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 11.9% 12.7% 13.8% 12.3% 10.3% 11.1% 9.3% 7.3% 5.5% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 1.7% 2.5% 1.6% 1.8% 4.2% 2.8% 5.1% 7.2% 7.9% 8.1% 13.5% 14.4% 18.3% 10.9%
Eva Leggett 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 4.4% 9.8% 18.0% 53.6%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 3.7% 1.8% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.4% 7.5% 10.4% 11.8% 12.2% 13.5% 11.5% 7.3%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.7% 4.5% 7.2% 6.8% 8.3% 7.4% 10.9% 10.8% 10.9% 9.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.