Race 7A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Torrey Chisari 11.4% 14.6% 13.5% 11.6% 11.7% 11.0% 9.1% 5.5% 4.2% 3.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 16.4% 16.0% 14.3% 14.7% 11.9% 9.7% 6.2% 4.4% 2.8% 2.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Heather Kerns 5.1% 5.0% 7.5% 7.0% 8.1% 7.6% 9.1% 11.0% 10.8% 9.5% 8.1% 7.6% 3.3% 0.3%
Annika VanderHorst 1.6% 1.2% 1.9% 3.7% 3.2% 4.1% 6.4% 6.1% 8.2% 8.1% 12.2% 15.4% 17.6% 10.3%
Avery Canavan 4.3% 5.0% 6.1% 8.2% 6.7% 9.2% 9.4% 9.6% 10.3% 9.2% 10.9% 5.9% 4.2% 1.0%
Piper Holthus 16.8% 16.4% 16.4% 13.6% 10.9% 8.6% 6.8% 5.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 5.1% 6.8% 7.7% 6.6% 7.7% 8.5% 9.4% 11.1% 11.3% 9.3% 7.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.7%
Bridget Green 22.0% 19.3% 13.6% 12.7% 10.3% 9.1% 5.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.6% 5.8% 8.1% 8.6% 10.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.6% 9.3% 7.7% 6.3% 2.6% 2.5% 0.2%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.3% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 5.5% 6.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.4% 12.1% 11.0% 13.5% 9.0% 4.1%
Grace Watlington 2.8% 3.6% 2.7% 4.1% 6.7% 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 12.3% 12.6% 7.8% 4.2%
Kennedy Jones 2.5% 1.7% 3.2% 2.7% 4.0% 4.4% 6.9% 8.4% 9.6% 12.3% 11.1% 12.3% 13.5% 7.4%
Carly Mraz 1.9% 1.3% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.0% 4.3% 4.7% 6.0% 8.3% 9.5% 14.7% 22.8% 18.5%
Eva Leggett 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 4.1% 6.5% 8.5% 16.1% 53.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.