Race 9A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Avery Canavan 4.5% 4.2% 7.5% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 9.6% 10.4% 8.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.2%
Piper Holthus 18.2% 18.8% 14.4% 12.0% 13.0% 8.6% 6.8% 3.7% 1.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Bridget Green 22.8% 17.6% 15.9% 13.5% 9.9% 8.8% 4.9% 3.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Eva Blauvelt 13.9% 16.6% 13.2% 14.0% 12.0% 9.5% 7.8% 5.5% 4.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Torrey Chisari 9.9% 12.7% 13.7% 13.4% 11.2% 10.2% 9.5% 7.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 7.1% 5.4% 7.7% 9.8% 8.7% 11.4% 10.5% 8.4% 9.8% 9.0% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 0.2%
Kennedy Jones 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 4.8% 6.2% 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 10.6% 13.3% 14.2% 11.6% 5.8%
Heather Kerns 5.8% 5.8% 6.8% 4.8% 8.0% 7.4% 9.7% 11.2% 10.2% 11.1% 7.3% 6.9% 4.3% 0.7%
Annika VanderHorst 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 1.7% 3.3% 3.4% 4.6% 6.8% 8.0% 8.8% 13.3% 16.5% 18.0% 8.8%
Carly Mraz 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 3.8% 4.0% 7.8% 7.4% 10.8% 13.6% 24.7% 18.9%
Eva Leggett 0.4% 0.6% 0.9% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.7% 6.4% 7.9% 15.7% 55.5%
Cho-Cho Williams 2.7% 2.7% 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 11.5% 11.1% 11.9% 11.9% 8.0% 4.8%
Elizabeth Gildea 6.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 9.1% 10.3% 11.8% 10.3% 9.4% 8.0% 6.6% 2.7% 0.8%
Grace Watlington 3.0% 3.6% 3.3% 5.2% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 9.1% 9.2% 11.3% 11.2% 11.0% 9.0% 3.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.