Race 10A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Heather Kerns 4.6% 5.1% 6.5% 7.8% 7.8% 9.2% 10.7% 9.9% 10.5% 9.0% 7.2% 7.3% 3.5% 0.9%
Eva Blauvelt 16.4% 15.5% 15.0% 12.7% 11.4% 10.5% 7.1% 4.8% 3.3% 1.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 5.2% 6.1% 5.8% 7.7% 6.6% 8.3% 9.1% 10.0% 11.0% 10.8% 8.8% 5.9% 3.5% 1.2%
Bridget Green 19.8% 18.8% 16.0% 14.5% 10.6% 7.4% 6.1% 4.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 1.9% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 6.8% 8.2% 9.0% 11.8% 17.1% 15.7% 11.0%
Elizabeth Cutler 6.5% 6.1% 8.3% 9.2% 8.3% 11.2% 9.4% 10.6% 10.1% 7.9% 6.6% 4.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Piper Holthus 19.3% 19.6% 12.5% 14.2% 11.2% 8.7% 7.2% 4.3% 1.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 2.0% 3.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.8% 4.7% 5.8% 7.3% 7.3% 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 14.5% 7.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 3.7% 2.6% 3.6% 3.3% 5.1% 4.8% 6.6% 9.4% 11.5% 11.9% 13.2% 10.5% 9.6% 4.2%
Torrey Chisari 10.7% 11.7% 14.5% 12.9% 11.8% 10.0% 9.6% 7.9% 4.8% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Carly Mraz 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.6% 9.5% 15.1% 24.7% 18.4%
Elizabeth Gildea 4.5% 4.6% 6.6% 5.5% 8.9% 9.8% 10.0% 11.0% 11.1% 9.6% 8.5% 5.5% 3.3% 1.1%
Eva Leggett 1.1% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 4.2% 6.0% 8.6% 16.0% 53.2%
Grace Watlington 3.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.1% 6.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.2% 10.8% 11.5% 12.5% 11.9% 7.4% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.