← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University1.07+11.17vs Predicted
-
2Boston College1.36+7.67vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.45+6.99vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University1.79+4.12vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University1.73+3.95vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University1.86+3.15vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.17+0.18vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.84+0.22vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.42-5.03vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.26-0.12vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.18-0.27vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.27vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.01-1.41vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.99-2.06vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-6.54vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.07-9.49vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University0.49-3.51vs Predicted
-
18Brown University1.69-9.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.17George Washington University1.072.2%1st Place
-
9.67Boston College1.363.9%1st Place
-
9.99Dartmouth College1.453.9%1st Place
-
8.12Cornell University1.796.3%1st Place
-
8.95Tulane University1.735.3%1st Place
-
9.15Georgetown University1.865.8%1st Place
-
7.18Harvard University2.178.0%1st Place
-
8.22Bowdoin College1.846.3%1st Place
-
3.97Yale University2.4220.4%1st Place
-
9.88College of Charleston1.264.2%1st Place
-
10.73Northeastern University1.183.1%1st Place
-
12.27University of Pennsylvania1.162.5%1st Place
-
11.59Tufts University1.012.6%1st Place
-
11.94University of South Florida0.992.6%1st Place
-
8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.2%1st Place
-
6.51Stanford University2.079.3%1st Place
-
13.49Roger Williams University0.491.7%1st Place
-
8.7Brown University1.695.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 13.1% |
| Sara Schumann | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Drulard | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.4% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ellie Harned | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 25.2% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.