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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.14vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.85-0.07vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.10-0.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.53+1.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.98-0.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08+0.22vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.07-1.69vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-4.54vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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1.93Yale University4.850.5%1st Place
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2.84University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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5.46Brown University2.530.0%1st Place
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4.6Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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6.31Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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5.46University of Connecticut2.510.1%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 10.4% | 13.4% | 18.5% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 45.6% | 29.0% | 16.0% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 20.6% | 27.1% | 22.1% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Leah Hughes | 8.2% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Chris Grabe | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 24.1% | 10.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Keller | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 22.7% | 9.7% | 1.7% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 52.7% | 18.9% |
| Sean Andrew | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 15.8% | 77.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.