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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.70vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+6.60vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+3.63vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College0.88+9.30vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+2.63vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.39+4.00vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+1.88vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.03+2.25vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-3.87vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-3.21vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering0.46+3.32vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.78-3.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.63vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-6.24vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-4.32vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-3.16vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-4.70vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.41-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Harvard University3.0512.7%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.7%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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13.3Connecticut College0.881.5%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University2.226.7%1st Place
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10.0Boston University1.394.6%1st Place
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8.88Dartmouth College1.954.6%1st Place
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10.25Bowdoin College2.033.6%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.7314.4%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University2.689.7%1st Place
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14.32Olin College of Engineering0.460.9%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island2.786.1%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.9%1st Place
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7.76Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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10.68Northeastern University1.712.8%1st Place
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12.84University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University0.462.0%1st Place
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14.58Maine Maritime Academy0.411.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 12.7% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Jack Egan | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Schnell | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 24.1% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 12.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 18.2% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.