← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.62+2.97vs Predicted
-
2Bates College0.78+1.81vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.70-0.74vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-0.20+1.46vs Predicted
-
5Boston University0.34-0.59vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University-0.12-0.64vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.50-0.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont-0.23-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.97Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
3.81Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
-
2.26University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
-
5.46Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
-
4.41Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.36Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
-
6.4University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
-
7.72Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
-
5.61University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Jett Lindelof | 12.1% | 19.3% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Severson | 39.7% | 25.5% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.4% | 5.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Renato Korzinek | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 16.9% |
| Robin Potter | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 16.0% | 55.1% |
| Greer Page | 6.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 18.7% | 15.2% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.