← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Salve Regina University0.62+2.96vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.70+0.37vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont-0.23+2.67vs Predicted
-
4Bates College0.78-0.38vs Predicted
-
5Fairfield University-0.12+0.28vs Predicted
-
6Boston University0.34-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.61vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.50-0.29vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.96Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
-
2.37University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
-
5.67University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
-
3.62Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
-
5.28Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
-
4.46Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
-
6.39University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
-
7.71Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
-
5.54Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 13.8% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Zachary Severson | 35.8% | 26.8% | 17.6% | 10.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Greer Page | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 8.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 7.1% |
| Renato Korzinek | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 24.5% | 16.7% |
| Robin Potter | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 55.8% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.