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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.70+1.27vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.78+1.85vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+0.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.23+0.43vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.58vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
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3.85Bates College0.780.1%1st Place
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3.99Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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4.4Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
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5.36Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.72Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.56Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 39.0% | 26.7% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 11.9% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.6% | 14.7% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Greer Page | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 8.8% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 24.0% | 17.3% |
| Robin Potter | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 55.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.