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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.70+0.39vs Predicted
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3Bates College0.78+0.73vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.23+1.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.34-0.61vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.64vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.59vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.28vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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2.39University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
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3.73Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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5.49University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.39Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.36Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.72Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Severson | 36.4% | 26.2% | 16.6% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jett Lindelof | 15.6% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Greer Page | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 8.7% |
| Renato Korzinek | 10.7% | 13.2% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.9% | 23.5% | 17.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 55.2% |
| Sean Morrison | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.