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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.27vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+5.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+4.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+5.74vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.68+1.19vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+6.26vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.39+2.62vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-2.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.71+1.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-3.98vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.95-2.35vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05+0.36vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.20-5.44vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.09vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-5.48vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.88-3.15vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.81vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.27Harvard University3.0513.2%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island2.787.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.227.4%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.034.1%1st Place
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6.19Roger Williams University2.6811.1%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.091.9%1st Place
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9.62Boston University1.394.6%1st Place
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5.72Brown University2.9110.5%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.713.2%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.9211.3%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College1.955.3%1st Place
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12.36University of Vermont1.051.6%1st Place
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7.56Boston College2.207.3%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University0.461.9%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.8%1st Place
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12.85Connecticut College0.881.7%1st Place
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14.19Maine Maritime Academy0.411.6%1st Place
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13.91Olin College of Engineering0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Derry | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| Michael Kirkman | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% |
| Maks Groom | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 14.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 27.3% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.