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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.70+1.26vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-0.12+2.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+0.36vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.78-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.23-0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.61vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.29vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
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4.14Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.45Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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4.36Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.62Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.71Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.54Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 40.1% | 24.5% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.4% | 14.9% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jane Matthews | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 6.9% |
| Renato Korzinek | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.9% | 21.3% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Greer Page | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 7.7% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 23.6% | 17.2% |
| Robin Potter | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 55.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.