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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.70+1.27vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.23+2.65vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.34+0.37vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.78-1.39vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-0.12-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62-0.60vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.50-0.29vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University-0.20-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.27University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
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4.14Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.37Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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3.61Bates College0.780.2%1st Place
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5.32Fairfield University-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.71Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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5.53Salve Regina University-0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 39.9% | 24.6% | 16.9% | 10.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 9.4% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Greer Page | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 8.6% |
| Renato Korzinek | 11.1% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Jett Lindelof | 16.9% | 21.1% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Jane Matthews | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 12.3% | 6.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 17.1% |
| Robin Potter | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 55.4% |
| Sean Morrison | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.