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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.70+1.37vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+2.86vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.34+1.89vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.12+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.23+1.06vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University0.62-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.62+0.03vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.22-2.91vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.50-0.48vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.20-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37University of Rhode Island1.700.4%1st Place
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4.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston University0.340.1%1st Place
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5.89Fairfield University-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont-0.230.1%1st Place
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4.21Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Connecticut-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.09McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
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8.52Middlebury College-1.500.0%1st Place
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6.07Salve Regina University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Severson | 38.8% | 26.1% | 14.6% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Renato Korzinek | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Jane Matthews | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 6.5% |
| Greer Page | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 7.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 13.2% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Treat | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 16.4% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Robin Potter | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 52.9% |
| Sean Morrison | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.