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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.05vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+1.64vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.55+0.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University-0.72-0.62vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-2.37+0.77vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-1.36-1.59vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.16vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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2.05Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.64Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.12University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.38Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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6.77University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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5.41Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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7.84Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.86Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 43.1% | 32.3% | 16.8% | 6.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 36.4% | 35.9% | 17.8% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.5% | 5.8% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.4% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 25.3% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.0% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 31.1% | 24.5% | 12.3% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.4% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 13.3% | 18.5% | 26.7% | 18.1% | 7.4% | 1.6% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 12.6% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 14.1% | 29.3% | 43.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.