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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont-0.55+1.24vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.72+0.37vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.82-0.50vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.15vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.19vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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2.05Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.24University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.37Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.38Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.85University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.81Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.88Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 42.7% | 33.3% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 35.8% | 36.8% | 17.2% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.2% | 7.7% | 18.7% | 23.7% | 20.8% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Josh Sultanik | 6.0% | 8.0% | 16.5% | 21.1% | 21.8% | 17.0% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.7% | 7.6% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 20.2% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 13.7% | 17.6% | 25.3% | 20.1% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 30.3% | 26.0% | 12.3% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 13.4% | 30.6% | 41.7% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 13.9% | 28.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.