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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.03vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.72+1.51vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.82+0.51vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.36+0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.55-1.79vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.17vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.19vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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2.03Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.51Boston University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.3Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.81Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.88Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 42.6% | 34.5% | 14.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 36.7% | 36.4% | 17.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 4.9% | 6.3% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.8% | 7.8% | 15.3% | 20.1% | 22.0% | 18.3% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.7% | 4.5% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.2% | 7.8% | 19.0% | 23.5% | 21.3% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.8% | 31.3% | 25.9% | 11.7% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 31.1% | 41.5% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 28.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.