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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.05vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.72+1.51vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.55+0.13vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.82-0.49vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.17vs Predicted
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8Bates College-3.28-0.18vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-3.26-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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2.05Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.51Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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4.51Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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5.38Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.83University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.82Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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7.86Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 42.8% | 33.4% | 16.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 36.3% | 36.1% | 17.6% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.1% | 6.1% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 21.9% | 17.7% | 9.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.6% | 10.0% | 18.9% | 24.1% | 18.5% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.6% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 19.8% | 20.1% | 17.2% | 9.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.5% | 3.9% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 20.0% | 7.2% | 1.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 29.5% | 25.9% | 12.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 13.2% | 30.5% | 42.3% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 13.8% | 29.3% | 43.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.