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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+4.32vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.92+3.83vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.91+2.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+5.99vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.71+5.17vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.78+0.69vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.22-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.05+3.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.95-1.53vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-1.49vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.88+0.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-6.79vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.46-2.09vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.39-5.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-3.79vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.72vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.46-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Harvard University3.0514.2%1st Place
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5.83Yale University2.9210.0%1st Place
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5.66Brown University2.9112.2%1st Place
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9.99Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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7.43Boston College2.206.8%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island2.787.0%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University2.228.5%1st Place
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12.72University of Vermont1.051.4%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College1.956.5%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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12.87Connecticut College0.881.2%1st Place
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6.21Roger Williams University2.6810.3%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University0.461.8%1st Place
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9.74Boston University1.393.7%1st Place
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12.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.091.8%1st Place
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14.28Maine Maritime Academy0.410.9%1st Place
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13.93Olin College of Engineering0.461.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Noah Robitshek | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Derry | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 28.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.