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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.92vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31+0.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+1.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.55+0.14vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.36+0.33vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut-2.37+0.78vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.72-2.56vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.16vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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2.04Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.65Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.33Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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4.44Boston University-0.720.1%1st Place
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7.84Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.87Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 42.7% | 33.4% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 35.9% | 36.3% | 19.0% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.4% | 6.1% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 20.2% | 21.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.5% | 9.9% | 18.3% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.7% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 31.5% | 23.9% | 12.3% |
| Josh Sultanik | 5.6% | 6.8% | 16.1% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 8.9% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 31.0% | 42.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 13.5% | 29.5% | 43.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.