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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.31+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.38-0.04vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+1.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University-1.11+0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.55-0.97vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.22vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.22vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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1.96University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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4.55Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.83Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.03University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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5.28Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.78Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.85Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 41.3% | 34.4% | 16.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Ingalls | 39.2% | 36.8% | 16.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.6% | 5.9% | 15.0% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.5% | 5.6% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 19.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.7% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.5% | 4.0% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 21.3% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 16.0% | 28.1% | 25.4% | 12.1% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 12.9% | 30.6% | 41.3% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 13.6% | 28.3% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.