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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont-0.55+2.29vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+1.52vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31-2.11vs Predicted
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5Boston University-1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.24vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.23vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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4.29University of Vermont-0.550.0%1st Place
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4.52Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
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1.89Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.82Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.26Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.82Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 43.1% | 35.5% | 14.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 3.9% | 7.0% | 22.2% | 25.3% | 18.6% | 14.0% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 4.7% | 6.4% | 16.3% | 21.3% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 9.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 40.5% | 38.8% | 14.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.1% | 5.8% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 20.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.7% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 19.8% | 23.8% | 18.2% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 28.6% | 25.5% | 11.9% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 13.1% | 29.8% | 41.4% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 12.8% | 28.6% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.