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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.89vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-1.36+3.43vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31-1.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University-0.82+0.39vs Predicted
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5Boston University-1.11-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.55-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.24vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.23vs Predicted
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9Bates College-3.28-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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5.43Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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1.95Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.39Salve Regina University-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.82Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.76University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
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7.84Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 42.0% | 36.9% | 14.0% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Santiago Pastor | 1.9% | 3.5% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 19.7% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 39.7% | 35.2% | 17.4% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 5.0% | 7.9% | 16.2% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.6% | 6.0% | 14.4% | 20.7% | 16.8% | 20.2% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Petrush | 5.3% | 8.2% | 23.6% | 21.9% | 21.3% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 31.3% | 24.4% | 11.7% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.9% | 30.6% | 40.9% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 13.2% | 28.8% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.