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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.38+0.88vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.31-0.06vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University-0.82+1.40vs Predicted
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4Boston University-1.11+0.83vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.36+0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-0.55-1.98vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-2.37-0.52vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-3.26-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
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1.94Salve Regina University1.310.4%1st Place
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4.4Salve Regina University-0.820.1%1st Place
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4.83Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
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5.14Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
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7.3Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Ingalls | 43.3% | 34.1% | 16.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 37.7% | 38.8% | 16.7% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 5.6% | 6.9% | 16.5% | 22.1% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.7% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 22.7% | 20.9% | 12.7% | 3.1% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.7% | 3.5% | 9.2% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 25.0% | 17.2% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.4% | 8.2% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack Sullivan | 1.3% | 1.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 36.8% | 27.1% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 7.8% | 21.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.