← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+3.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.38+0.10vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University1.31-0.81vs Predicted
-
4Salve Regina University-0.82+1.42vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont-0.55-0.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston University-1.11-0.07vs Predicted
-
7Fairfield University-1.36-0.59vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-1.50-1.37vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-3.26+0.16vs Predicted
-
10University of Connecticut-2.37-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
-
2.1University of Rhode Island1.380.4%1st Place
-
2.19Salve Regina University1.310.3%1st Place
-
5.42Salve Regina University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
4.87University of Vermont-0.550.1%1st Place
-
5.93Boston University-1.110.0%1st Place
-
6.41Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
-
6.63McGill University-1.500.0%1st Place
-
9.16Middlebury College-3.260.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Connecticut-2.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Earnshaw | 9.2% | 10.7% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 16.5% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Ingalls | 38.8% | 29.1% | 19.8% | 9.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 33.5% | 33.8% | 18.7% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 3.8% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 16.0% | 10.4% | 2.4% |
| Santiago Pastor | 2.0% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 3.5% |
| Alex Anderson | 1.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 4.8% |
| Annabelle Wyman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 16.8% | 64.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 32.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.