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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.17vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.02vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+1.17vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08-1.96vs Predicted
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5American University-1.49-0.02vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.14-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.02Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.17William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.04Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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4.98American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.02Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.61University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 33.8% | 32.8% | 20.1% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.3% | 19.1% | 28.2% | 21.4% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.4% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 26.3% | 28.2% | 18.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 37.9% | 32.3% | 20.1% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.3% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 25.2% | 47.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.3% | 19.1% | 28.2% | 21.4% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.3% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 21.6% | 29.7% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.