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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.16vs Predicted
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2American University-1.49+2.94vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+1.19vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.18-1.04vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-2.86vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.38vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.18-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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4.94American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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2.14Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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4.62University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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2.96Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 34.5% | 32.4% | 20.2% | 9.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.3% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 24.4% | 29.6% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.0% | 20.8% | 29.0% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 37.5% | 28.5% | 20.5% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 19.3% | 30.4% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.0% | 20.8% | 29.0% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.