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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.90vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+0.90vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-0.91vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08-2.03vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.81-1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.73vs Predicted
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7American University-4.01-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.9Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.9Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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2.09Penn State University0.960.4%1st Place
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1.97Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.87William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.89American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 14.5% | 21.6% | 32.3% | 23.0% | 8.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 14.5% | 21.6% | 32.3% | 23.0% | 8.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 36.6% | 30.3% | 22.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 39.4% | 33.8% | 18.8% | 6.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.9% | 8.1% | 16.2% | 33.6% | 35.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.3% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 26.9% | 49.7% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 93.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.