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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.18+1.88vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08-0.01vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+0.87vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-1.89vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.12vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.74vs Predicted
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7American University-4.01-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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1.99Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.87William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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2.11Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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2.88Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.26University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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5.9American University-4.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Young | 16.4% | 19.6% | 33.7% | 21.1% | 8.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 39.6% | 32.5% | 18.4% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 6.3% | 7.8% | 15.4% | 35.7% | 33.1% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 34.1% | 33.4% | 21.8% | 9.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.4% | 19.6% | 33.7% | 21.1% | 8.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.4% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 25.0% | 50.5% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lane | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 4.8% | 93.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.