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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.05+3.29vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+8.18vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.03+4.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+1.82vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.46+6.99vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93+1.41vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.95-0.57vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.71+3.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.22-3.80vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-5.73vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.41+1.21vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.39-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.05-2.53vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.71-5.60vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.20-9.69vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.46-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Brown University2.9110.5%1st Place
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5.29Harvard University3.0513.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.9211.6%1st Place
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12.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.9%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.034.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island2.786.4%1st Place
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13.99Olin College of Engineering0.461.4%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.2%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College1.956.0%1st Place
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13.33Connecticut College0.711.2%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University2.227.6%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.6810.3%1st Place
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14.21Maine Maritime Academy0.411.5%1st Place
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9.5Boston University1.395.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Vermont1.052.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University1.713.4%1st Place
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7.31Boston College2.206.6%1st Place
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11.64Salve Regina University0.461.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 13.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Derry | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 23.5% |
| Maks Groom | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 16.7% |
| Ben Mueller | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 25.4% |
| Noah Robitshek | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% |
| Will Priebe | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.