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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.17vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech0.18+1.00vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.81+1.17vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.95vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University1.08-2.88vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.18-3.00vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-1.14-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.17William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
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4.95American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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2.12Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 34.0% | 32.0% | 21.3% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.5% | 20.1% | 27.9% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.9% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 29.2% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 24.8% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 37.6% | 30.1% | 20.0% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 16.5% | 20.1% | 27.9% | 20.7% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 21.7% | 28.9% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.