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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.19vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+0.01vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.180.00vs Predicted
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4American University-1.49+0.91vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.18-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-1.14-1.35vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.81-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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2.01Christopher Newport University1.080.4%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.91American University-1.490.0%1st Place
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3.0Virginia Tech0.180.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Maryland-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.23William and Mary-0.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 32.7% | 32.8% | 22.4% | 7.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 41.8% | 28.6% | 18.6% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 14.8% | 20.5% | 29.2% | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 2.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 15.6% | 26.5% | 44.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Young | 14.8% | 20.5% | 29.2% | 23.2% | 9.9% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Thonnard | 2.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 30.9% | 32.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Hudson | 5.3% | 6.6% | 14.2% | 26.9% | 27.6% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.