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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+1.20vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.20vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20-0.92vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-2.82-0.04vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.82-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.31-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Christopher Newport University0.850.7%1st Place
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3.2Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.2Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.08American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.96William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
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3.96Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 74.2% | 18.5% | 6.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.0% | 27.0% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 8.0% | 27.0% | 26.5% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 10.1% | 25.9% | 27.1% | 22.1% | 11.9% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 1.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 49.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.3% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 24.4% | 23.1% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 3.1% | 7.5% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 30.2% | 26.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.