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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+0.34vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.21vs Predicted
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4American University-1.20-0.94vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.82-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.31-1.48vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-2.82-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Christopher Newport University0.850.7%1st Place
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3.21Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.21Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.06American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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3.85Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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4.52University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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5.03William and Mary-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 74.1% | 19.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.7% | 26.8% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.7% | 26.8% | 26.6% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 10.4% | 26.6% | 26.4% | 22.7% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 4.0% | 14.9% | 20.8% | 24.7% | 23.8% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.2% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 19.8% | 28.5% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
| Sebastian Morales-Talero | 1.6% | 3.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 22.1% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.