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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+0.57vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-1.63+2.20vs Predicted
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3William and Mary-0.58-0.06vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.58-1.08vs Predicted
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5American University-1.50-0.82vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-1.63-1.80vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.51-1.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.57Christopher Newport University0.850.6%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.630.0%1st Place
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2.94William and Mary-0.580.1%1st Place
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2.92University of Maryland-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.18American University-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.2Virginia Tech-1.630.0%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 60.7% | 26.1% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 3.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 29.7% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 14.5% | 25.8% | 26.5% | 20.4% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 14.5% | 24.7% | 28.4% | 20.6% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Curtis | 4.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 21.7% | 29.8% | 18.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Springer | 3.9% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 29.7% | 19.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Springer | 1.7% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 19.7% | 57.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.