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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+0.52vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+0.81vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.67vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.82+0.39vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.29-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-2.31-0.98vs Predicted
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7American University-1.20-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.52Christopher Newport University0.850.6%1st Place
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2.81William and Mary-0.580.2%1st Place
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3.67Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.39Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.67Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
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3.6American University-1.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 63.9% | 23.9% | 9.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 16.0% | 29.6% | 26.7% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.8% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.4% | 8.0% | 14.3% | 21.1% | 26.9% | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.8% | 14.7% | 21.6% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 1.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 21.1% | 52.2% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 7.2% | 17.9% | 21.2% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.