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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.85+0.53vs Predicted
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2William and Mary-0.58+0.80vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.29-0.35vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.82-0.61vs Predicted
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6American University-1.20-2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-2.31-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53Christopher Newport University0.850.6%1st Place
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2.8William and Mary-0.580.2%1st Place
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3.65Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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3.65Virginia Tech-1.290.1%1st Place
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4.39Penn State University-1.820.0%1st Place
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3.69American University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Maryland-2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Atherton | 63.1% | 24.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Johnson | 16.3% | 31.5% | 23.8% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.7% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 7.7% | 15.2% | 22.5% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 3.5% | 8.0% | 14.5% | 20.2% | 27.6% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| James Cottage | 6.6% | 16.6% | 21.9% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Retzlaff | 2.8% | 3.9% | 8.7% | 14.5% | 21.6% | 48.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.