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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.01+0.83vs Predicted
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2Hampton University1.77+0.01vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70+0.14vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+1.07vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.73-0.14vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.94+0.22vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.84-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83Fordham University2.010.5%1st Place
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2.01Hampton University1.770.4%1st Place
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3.14Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.0%1st Place
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4.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.730.0%1st Place
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6.22Syracuse University-1.940.0%1st Place
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4.87Rutgers University-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Thress | 46.7% | 31.7% | 14.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 36.3% | 36.9% | 18.3% | 6.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.6% | 17.5% | 37.0% | 20.6% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 0.8% | 4.0% | 8.6% | 18.5% | 24.1% | 30.3% | 13.7% |
| Oscar Gilroy | 2.1% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 22.8% | 25.2% | 22.4% | 13.6% |
| Faith Otoole | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 6.6% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 60.7% |
| Anish Jayewardene | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.5% | 19.3% | 25.4% | 26.6% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.