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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+4.72vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.03+7.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+5.68vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.78+3.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+0.23vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+4.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.92-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.05+4.48vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-2.84vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-2.83vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-3.40vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.93-2.48vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-1.27vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-1.95vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.46-1.03vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.39-6.42vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.41-2.78vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College0.71-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Brown University2.9112.1%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College2.033.5%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College1.955.5%1st Place
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7.68University of Rhode Island2.786.8%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University3.0511.9%1st Place
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10.02Northeastern University1.713.6%1st Place
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5.98Yale University2.9211.2%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont1.051.8%1st Place
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6.16Roger Williams University2.6810.9%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University2.228.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.206.9%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.934.7%1st Place
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11.73Salve Regina University0.462.8%1st Place
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12.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.4%1st Place
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13.97Olin College of Engineering0.461.0%1st Place
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9.58Boston University1.394.6%1st Place
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14.22Maine Maritime Academy0.411.5%1st Place
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13.37Connecticut College0.711.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Mueller | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maks Groom | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Jack Derry | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Peter Schnell | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 23.8% |
| Noah Robitshek | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 27.2% |
| Wade Anthony | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.